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Non-effectiveness of Ivermectin on Inpatients and Outpatients With COVID-19; Results of Two Randomized, Double-Blinded, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trials

Rezai et al., Frontiers in Medicine, doi:10.3389/fmed.2022.919708, IRCT20111224008507N5
Jun 2022  
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Mortality 31% Improvement Relative Risk Ventilation 50% ICU admission 16% Hospitalization time -11% Deterioration -13% Recovery 24% post-hoc primary Recovery, day 7, cough 64% Recovery, day 7, tachypnea 76% Ivermectin  Rezai et al.  LATE TREATMENT  DB RCT Is late treatment with ivermectin beneficial for COVID-19? Double-blind RCT 609 patients in Iran (February - August 2021) Improved recovery with ivermectin (p=0.02) c19ivm.org Rezai et al., Frontiers in Medicine, Jun 2022 Favorsivermectin Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Ivermectin for COVID-19
4th treatment shown to reduce risk in August 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 105 studies, recognized in 23 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,100+ studies for 112 treatments. c19ivm.org
RCT 609 inpatients in Iran. Reported outcomes are very different from the pre-specified outcomes1. The outpatient trial is listed separately.
From the pre-specified outcomes, all are either positive or not reported. Pre-specified outcomes:
- Reduction in persistent cough - RR 0.36 p = 0.06
- Negative RT-PCR - not reported
- Main complaints recovery time - not reported
- Mortality - RR 0.69 p = 0.36
- Side effects - reported as none (anomalous)
- Reduction in tachypnea - RR 0.24 p = 0.38
- Oxygen saturation >94% - not reported
All negative outcomes are protocol violations and are not listed in the protocol, including the novel "relative recovery" outcome.
Authors include a researcher caught on video admitting that conclusions on ivermectin research were influenced by a funder2.
Severe cases were more frequent in the ivermectin group, 49% vs. 43%.
Dose was limited at a maximum of 30mg for 75+kg, resulting in underdosing for patients at higher risk.
Almost all patients received remdesivir, most patients received famotidine and vitamin C, and many patients received vitamin D, metformin, and zinc, limiting room for improvement.
32% of patients were lost to followup. Authors indicate bottles were identical, but tablets were only similar. Ivermectin was obtained from Alborz Daru Co.
This is the 37th of 52 COVID-19 RCTs for ivermectin, which collectively show efficacy with p=0.00000021.
This is the 86th of 105 COVID-19 controlled studies for ivermectin, which collectively show efficacy with p<0.0000000001 (1 in 774 quintillion).
This study is excluded in the after exclusion results of meta analysis: multiple critical issues, see study page.
risk of death, 30.8% lower, RR 0.69, p = 0.36, treatment 13 of 311 (4.2%), control 18 of 298 (6.0%), NNT 54.
risk of mechanical ventilation, 50.0% lower, RR 0.50, p = 0.07, treatment 311, control 298.
risk of ICU admission, 16.0% lower, RR 0.84, p = 0.47, treatment 311, control 298.
hospitalization time, 11.5% higher, relative time 1.11, p = 0.009, treatment mean 7.98 (±4.4) n=311, control mean 7.16 (±3.2) n=298.
deterioration, 12.7% higher, RR 1.13, p = 0.74, treatment 20 of 311 (6.4%), control 17 of 298 (5.7%).
risk of no recovery, 24.2% lower, RR 0.76, p = 0.02, treatment 311, control 298, inverted to make RR<1 favor treatment, post-hoc primary outcome.
risk of no recovery, 64.0% lower, RR 0.36, p = 0.06, treatment 5 of 145 (3.4%), control 10 of 105 (9.5%), NNT 16, day 7, cough.
risk of no recovery, 76.0% lower, RR 0.24, p = 0.38, day 7, tachypnea.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Rezai et al., 16 Jun 2022, Double Blind Randomized Controlled Trial, placebo-controlled, Iran, peer-reviewed, mean age 53.8, 29 authors, study period 19 February, 2021 - 14 August, 2021, average treatment delay 7.18 days, dosage 400μg/kg days 1-3, trial IRCT20111224008507N5. Contact: drmsrezaii@yahoo.com.
This PaperIvermectinAll
Non-effectiveness of Ivermectin on Inpatients and Outpatients With COVID-19; Results of Two Randomized, Double-Blinded, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trials
Mohammad Sadegh Rezai, Fatemeh Ahangarkani, Andrew Hill, Leah Ellis, Manya Mirchandani, Alireza Davoudi, Gohar Eslami, Fatemeh Roozbeh, Farhang Babamahmoodi, Nima Rouhani, Ahmad Alikhani, Narges Najafi, Roya Ghasemian, Hossein Mehravaran, Azin Hajialibeig, Mohammad Reza Navaeifar, Leila Shahbaznejad, Golnar Rahimzadeh, Majid Saeedi, Reza Alizadeh-Navai, Mahmood Moosazadeh, Shahab Saeedi, Seyedeh-Kiana Razavi-Amoli, Shaghayegh Rezai, Fereshteh Rostami-Maskopaee, Fatemeh Hosseinzadeh, Faezeh Sadat Movahedi, John S Markowitz, Reza Valadan
Frontiers in Medicine, doi:10.3389/fmed.2022.919708
Background: Ivermectin which was widely considered as a potential treatment for COVID-19, showed uncertain clinical benefit in many clinical trials. Performing largescale clinical trials to evaluate the effectiveness of this drug in the midst of the pandemic, while difficult, has been urgently needed. Methods: We performed two large multicenter randomized, double-blind, placebocontrolled clinical trials evaluating the effectiveness of ivermectin in treating inpatients and outpatients with COVID-19 infection. The intervention group received ivermectin, 0.4mg/kg of body weight per day for 3 days. In the control group, placebo tablets were used for 3 days. Results: Data for 609 inpatients and 549 outpatients were analyzed. In hospitalized patients, complete recovery was significantly higher in the ivermectin group (37%) compared to placebo group (28%; RR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.04-1.66]; p-value = 0.02). On the other hand, the length of hospital stay was significantly longer in the ivermectin group with a mean of 7.98 ± 4.4 days compared to the placebo receiving group with a mean of 7.16 ± 3.2 days (RR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.15-1.45]; p-value = 0.02). In outpatients, the
ETHICS STATEMENT The studies involving human participants were reviewed and approved by the Ethics Committee of Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences (IR.MAZUMS.REC.1399.915 and IR.MAZUMS.REC.1399.869) and by the Iranian Registry of Clinical Trials identifier (IRCT20111224008507N5 and IRCT20111224008507N4). Written informed consent to participate in this study was provided by the participants or their legal guardian/next of kin. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS MR contributed to the conception or design of the work. MR, FA, AHi, LE, and MMi contributed to the drafting and statistical analysis of the manuscript. All authors contributed toward the acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data, critical revision of the manuscript, review and approval of the final version of the manuscript. SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed. 2022.919708/full#supplementary-material Conflict of Interest: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. Publisher's Note: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not..
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{ 'indexed': {'date-parts': [[2022, 6, 16]], 'date-time': '2022-06-16T10:43:09Z', 'timestamp': 1655376189005}, 'reference-count': 43, 'publisher': 'Frontiers Media SA', 'license': [ { 'start': { 'date-parts': [[2022, 6, 16]], 'date-time': '2022-06-16T00:00:00Z', 'timestamp': 1655337600000}, 'content-version': 'vor', 'delay-in-days': 0, 'URL': 'https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/'}], 'content-domain': {'domain': ['frontiersin.org'], 'crossmark-restriction': True}, 'abstract': '<jats:sec><jats:title>Background</jats:title><jats:p>Ivermectin which was widely considered ' 'as a potential treatment for COVID-19, showed uncertain clinical benefit in many clinical ' 'trials. Performing large-scale clinical trials to evaluate the effectiveness of this drug in ' 'the midst of the pandemic, while difficult, has been urgently ' 'needed.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods</jats:title><jats:p>We performed two ' 'large multicenter randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trials evaluating the ' 'effectiveness of ivermectin in treating inpatients and outpatients with COVID-19 infection. ' 'The intervention group received ivermectin, 0.4mg/kg of body weight per day for 3 days. In ' 'the control group, placebo tablets were used for 3 ' 'days.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results</jats:title><jats:p>Data for 609 ' 'inpatients and 549 outpatients were analyzed. In hospitalized patients, complete recovery was ' 'significantly higher in the ivermectin group (37%) compared to placebo group (28%; RR, 1.32 ' '[95% CI, 1.04–1.66]; <jats:italic>p</jats:italic>-value = 0.02). On the other hand, the ' 'length of hospital stay was significantly longer in the ivermectin group with a mean of 7.98 ' '± 4.4 days compared to the placebo receiving group with a mean of 7.16 ± 3.2 days (RR, 0.80 ' '[95% CI, 0.15–1.45]; <jats:italic>p</jats:italic>-value = 0.02). In outpatients, the mean ' 'duration of fever was significantly shorter (2.02 ± 0.11 days) in the ivermectin group versus ' '(2.41 ± 0.13 days) placebo group with <jats:italic>p</jats:italic> value = 0.020. On the day ' 'seventh of treatment, fever (<jats:italic>p</jats:italic>-value = 0.040), cough ' '(<jats:italic>p</jats:italic>-value = 0.019), and weakness ' '(<jats:italic>p</jats:italic>-value = 0.002) were significantly higher in the placebo group ' 'compared to the ivermectin group. Among all outpatients, 7% in ivermectin group and 5% in ' 'placebo group needed to be hospitalized (RR, 1.36 [95% CI, 0.65–2.84]; ' '<jats:italic>p</jats:italic>-value = 0.41). Also, the result of RT-PCR on day five after ' 'treatment was negative for 26% of patients in the ivermectin group versus 32% in the placebo ' 'group (RR, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.60–1.09]; <jats:italic>p</jats:italic>-value = ' '0.16).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusion</jats:title><jats:p>Our data ' 'showed, ivermectin, compared with placebo, did not have a significant potential effect on ' 'clinical improvement, reduced admission in ICU, need for invasive ventilation, and death in ' 'hospitalized patients; likewise, no evidence was found to support the prescription of ' 'ivermectin on recovery, reduced hospitalization and increased negative RT-PCR assay for ' 'SARS-CoV-2 5 days after treatment in outpatients. Our findings do not support the use of ' 'ivermectin to treat mild to severe forms of ' 'COVID-19.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Clinical Trial ' 'Registration</jats:title><jats:p><jats:ext-link>www.irct.ir</jats:ext-link> ' 'IRCT20111224008507N5 and IRCT20111224008507N4.</jats:p></jats:sec>', 'DOI': '10.3389/fmed.2022.919708', 'type': 'journal-article', 'created': {'date-parts': [[2022, 6, 16]], 'date-time': '2022-06-16T10:22:55Z', 'timestamp': 1655374975000}, 'update-policy': 'http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/crossmark-policy', 'source': 'Crossref', 'is-referenced-by-count': 0, 'title': 'Non-effectiveness of Ivermectin on Inpatients and Outpatients With COVID-19; Results of Two ' 'Randomized, Double-Blinded, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trials', 'prefix': '10.3389', 'volume': '9', 'author': [ {'given': 'Mohammad Sadegh', 'family': 'Rezai', 'sequence': 'first', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Fatemeh', 'family': 'Ahangarkani', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 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pharmacokinetic profile of fixed-dose ivermectin with an ' 'innovative 18mg tablet in healthy adult volunteers.', 'volume': '12', 'author': 'Muñoz', 'year': '2018', 'journal-title': 'PLoS Negl Trop Dis.'}, { 'key': 'B38', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '11', 'DOI': '10.3329/imcjms.v14i2.52826', 'article-title': 'Outcome of ivermectin treated mild to moderate covid-19 cases: a ' 'single-centre, open-label, randomised controlled study.', 'volume': '14', 'author': 'Podder', 'year': '2020', 'journal-title': 'IMC J Med Sci.'}, { 'key': 'B39', 'doi-asserted-by': 'publisher', 'first-page': '63', 'DOI': '10.14744/ejmo.2021.16263', 'article-title': 'A comparative study on ivermectin-doxycycline and ' 'hydroxychloroquine-azithromycin therapy on COVID-19 patients.', 'volume': '5', 'author': 'Chowdhury', 'year': '2021', 'journal-title': 'EJMO'}, { 'key': 'B40', 'doi-asserted-by': 'publisher', 'first-page': '635', 'DOI': '10.1186/s12879-021-06348-5', 'article-title': 'Ivermectin to 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Med.', 'published': {'date-parts': [[2022, 6, 16]]}}
Late treatment
is less effective
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 100,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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