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Association between Ivermectin treatment and mortality in Covid-19: A hospital-based case-control study

Ravikirti et al., Research Square, doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-1522422/v1
Apr 2022  
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Mortality 3% Improvement Relative Risk Ivermectin  Ravikirti et al.  LATE TREATMENT Is late treatment with ivermectin beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 965 patients in India (April - May 2021) Multiple issues, see notes c19ivm.org Ravikirti et al., Research Square, Apr 2022 Favorsivermectin Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Ivermectin for COVID-19
4th treatment shown to reduce risk in August 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 105 studies, recognized in 23 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,100+ studies for 109 treatments. c19ivm.org
Retrospective 965 late stage (44% severe, 27% ICU) hospitalized patients in India, showing no significant difference with ivermectin treatment. Overall mortality was very high, suggesting very late treatment. The low non-weight-adjusted dose may not be very effective with such late stage patients. 210 patients were excluded due to early discharge, which may have been patients with earlier onset that are more likely to benefit with ivermectin. Age grouping is very unusual with no breakdown of ages for the 71% of patients >45. Numbers may be unreliable, e.g., cardiovascular disease counts and/or percentages for IVM appear incorrect. Details of adjustments are not provided, there may be extreme confounding by age within the >45 groups which contain the majority of the patients, in addition to confounding by indication.
This is the 82nd of 105 COVID-19 controlled studies for ivermectin, which collectively show efficacy with p<0.0000000001 (1 in 774 quintillion).
52 studies are RCTs, which show efficacy with p=0.00000021.
This study is excluded in the after exclusion results of meta analysis: exclusion of patients in less severe condition, data/analysis concerns.
risk of death, 2.8% lower, RR 0.97, p = 0.82, treatment 53 of 171 (31.0%), control 254 of 794 (32.0%), NNT 100, odds ratio converted to relative risk.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Ravikirti et al., 6 Apr 2022, retrospective, India, preprint, 7 authors, study period 1 April, 2021 - 15 May, 2021, dosage varies.
This PaperIvermectinAll
Association between Ivermectin treatment and mortality in Covid-19: A hospital-based case-control study
Ravikirti, Alok Ranjan, Rajdeep Porel, Ketan Agarwal, S M Tahaseen, Shyama, Anjani Kumar
doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-1522422/v1
Introduction : This study was designed to test the hypothesis that exposure to ivermectin in early disease prevents mortality due to COVID-19. A secondary objective was to see if the drug has any impact on the length of hospital stay among the survivors. Methods It was a hospital-based retrospective case control Study conducted at a tertiary teaching hospital in India. All patients with a diagnosis of COVID-19 who were admitted between 1st April and 15th May 2021 and received inpatient care were included. Important variables like demographic details, dates of admission and discharge or death, symptoms at the time of admission, comorbidities, severity of illness at the time of admission, whether ivermectin was administered or not during the course of the illness and other treatments received as part of the standard of care were retrieved from the medical records. Results Of the 965 patients who received inpatient care, 307 died during their hospital stay while 658 were successfully discharged. The proportion of cases treated with ivermectin was 17.26% among the nonsurvivors (53/307) and 17.93% among the survivors (118/658). The effect was statistically insigni cant (crude OR = 0.954 ;95% CI: 0.668-1.364, p = 0.80). Among the survivors, the median length of stay was 11 days for patients who received ivermectin (IQR: 7-15) as well as for those who did not (IQR 7-16). Conclusion This study did not show any effect of ivermectin on in-patient mortality in patients with COVID-19 and there was no effect of the drug on the length of hospital stay among the survivors.
Declarations Authorship Statement: All authors meet the ICMJE authorship criteria. Con icts of interest: None Funding: None
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Late treatment
is less effective
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